0. 미국 허리케인 센터가 발표한 제1호 허리케인 "에르네스토" 예상진로이다.
)
0. 허리케인 "에르네스토"는 멕시코만에 있는 석유 시설들에 영향을 미치지 않고 플로리다를 거쳐 미국 동부지역으로 이동할 것으로 보여진다.
0. 다음은 제1호 허리케인 관련 정보이다.
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5
ALL
TTAA00 KNHC
DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER
19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL052006
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29
2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75
KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT
LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63
KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93
KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119
KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5
DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP)
WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING
DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD
(INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING
BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR
(CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE
GIVEN IN
PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5
PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED
5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5
PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME
(GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z
TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME
(EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z
TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED
PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM
FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z
WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z
SAT
PERIODS
TO TO
TO TO
TO TO TO
18Z
TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST
HOUR (12) (24)
(36) (48) (72)
(96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
LOCATION
KT
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X)
X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2(
3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2(
2) 2( 4)
BOSTON MA 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) X(
X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
HYANNIS MA
34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X(
X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) X(
X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1(
1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
HARTFORD CT
34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1(
1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
MONTAUK POINT 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1(
1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
NEW YORK CITY 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1(
1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
NEWARK
NJ 34 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2(
9)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6(
8) 3(11)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6(
9) 3(12)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1(
2) 1( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
8(12) 4(16)
BALTIMORE MD 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1(
2) 1( 3)
DOVER DE
34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4(
4) 7(11) 3(14)
DOVER
DE 50 X X( X)
X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1(
3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
3(16)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X(
3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
3(16)
WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1(
3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
2(14)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X(
4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X)
X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16)
3(19)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X)
X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1(
5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
8(17) 2(19)
NORFOLK VA 50
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2(
2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13)
7(20) 2(22)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3(
6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34
X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
8(23) 1(24)
RALEIGH NC 50
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3(
3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 34
X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
5(17) 2(19)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2(
5) 1( 6)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14)
6(20) 1(21)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2(
5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17)
5(22) 1(23)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3(
7) X( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X(
X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22)
6(28) 1(29)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3(
9) X( 9)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1(
3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X
X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18)
3(21) 1(22)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X
X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1(
5) 1( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X(
X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26)
5(31) 1(32)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
3(11) X(11)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X(
X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28)
3(31) 2(33)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
1(10) 1(11)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X(
3) X( 3)
ATLANTA GA 34
X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5(
6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
AUGUSTA GA
34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
13(17) 2(19) 1(20)
AUGUSTA GA
50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3(
3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA
34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
14(26) 2(28) 1(29)
SAVANNAH GA
50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5(
7) 1( 8) X( 8)
JACKSONVILLE 34
X 1( 1) 8( 9) 14(23) 10(33)
2(35) X(35)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X(
X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X(
8) 1( 9)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 5(
5) 19(24) 17(41) 6(47) X(47)
1(48)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 3(
3) 8(11) 2(13) X(13)
X(13)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) 1(
1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X(
4)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 11(11)
25(36) 11(47) 3(50) 1(51)
X(51)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 1(
1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14)
X(14) X(14)
ORLANDO FL 64
X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X(
3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1
13(14) 26(40) 11(51) 3(54) 1(55)
X(55)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 1( 1)
9(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18)
1(19)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 2(
2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X(
5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 2 22(24)
26(50) 7(57) 1(58) X(58)
1(59)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X 2( 2)
12(14) 5(19) X(19) 1(20)
X(20)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 2(
2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X(
4)
W PALM BEACH 34 5 35(40)
16(56) 4(60) 1(61) X(61)
X(61)
W PALM BEACH 50 X 8( 8)
11(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21)
X(21)
W PALM BEACH 64 X 1( 1) 3(
4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X(
4)
MIAMI FL 34 16 46(62)
10(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74)
X(74)
MIAMI FL 50 1
20(21) 7(28) 1(29) X(29)
X(29) X(29)
MIAMI FL 64
X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X(
6) X( 6) 1( 7)
MARATHON FL 34
18 44(62) 4(66) 1(67)
X(67) X(67) X(67)
MARATHON FL
50 1 16(17) 3(20) 1(21)
X(21) X(21) X(21)
MARATHON FL
64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X(
4) X( 4) X( 4)
KEY WEST FL
34 7 29(36) 5(41) 1(42)
X(42) X(42) X(42)
KEY WEST FL
50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X(
7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARCO ISLAND 34
3 36(39) 19(58) 2(60) X(60)
X(60) 1(61)
MARCO ISLAND 50 X
10(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21)
X(21) 1(22)
MARCO ISLAND 64 X 2(
2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X(
5) X( 5)
FT MYERS FL 34 2
25(27) 25(52) 3(55) X(55)
X(55) 1(56)
FT MYERS FL 50 X
5( 5) 11(16) 2(18) X(18)
X(18) X(18)
FT MYERS FL 64 X
1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X(
4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34
1 14(15) 19(34) 6(40) 1(41)
1(42) X(42)
VENICE FL 50
X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11)
1(12) X(12) X(12)
VENICE
FL 64 X X( X) 1(
1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X(
3)
TAMPA FL 34 X 9(
9) 17(26) 9(35) 3(38)
X(38) X(38)
TAMPA FL 50
X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10)
1(11) X(11) X(11)
TAMPA
FL 64 X X( X)
1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X(
3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 3( 3)
11(14) 10(24) 4(28) X(28)
X(28)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 2(
2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1(
7)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X(
X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X(
3)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 2(
2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
X(12)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 1(
1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12)
1(13) X(13)
ST MARKS FL 50 X
X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X(
2) 1( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X(
X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
X(10) X(10)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 1(
1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
X(10) X(10)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X(
X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X(
7) 1( 8)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X
X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1(
7) X( 7)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X(
3) 1( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X(
X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1(
3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X(
X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X(
3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 8
21(29) 8(37) 2(39) 1(40)
X(40) X(40)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 1(
1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X(
5) X( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 19 5(24)
2(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
X(27)
ANDROS 34
28 2(30) 1(31) 1(32)
X(32) X(32) X(32)
GREAT EXUMA
34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X(
5) X( 5) X(
5)
HAVANA 34
2 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X(
9) X( 9) X( 9)
ISLE OF PINES 34
1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X(
3) X( 3) X( 3)
CIENFUEGOS
34 8 4(12) 1(13) X(13)
X(13) X(13)
X(13)
CAMAGUEY 34 2
2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X(
5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR
FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM
FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z
WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z
SAT
PERIODS
TO TO
TO TO
TO TO TO
18Z
TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST
HOUR (12) (24)
(36) (48) (72)
(96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS
KT
12 238N 798W 34 72 12(84) X(84)
X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
12 238N
798W 50 19 10(29) X(29) 1(30)
X(30) X(30) X(30)
12 238N 798W 64
2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X(
2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 254N 807W 34 17
48(65) 8(73) 1(74) X(74)
X(74) X(74)
24 254N 807W 50 1
24(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32)
X(32) 1(33)
24 254N 807W 64 X 6(
6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X(
8) X( 8)
36 273N 810W 34 2 24(26)
27(53) 6(59) 1(60) X(60)
1(61)
36 273N 810W 50 X 4( 4)
16(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23)
X(23)
36 273N 810W 64 X 1( 1) 3(
4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X(
5)
48 297N 808W 34 X 4( 4) 14(18)
19(37) 8(45) X(45) 1(46)
48 297N
808W 50 X X( X) 2( 2)
9(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
48 297N
808W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4(
4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72
347N 794W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2(
2) 19(21) 6(27) X(27)
72 347N 794W
50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5(
5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 347N 794W 64
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2(
2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 380N 790W 34
X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
10(17) 3(20)
96 380N 790W 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3(
4) 1( 5)
96 380N 790W 64 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1(
1) X( 1)
120 420N 800W 34 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5(
7) 4(11)
120 420N 800W 50 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2(
2) 1( 3)
120 420N 800W 64 X X(
X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X(
X) 1(
1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND
50 60
50 55
40 35 25
FORECAST
HOUR (12) (24)
(36) (48) (72)
(96) (120)
출처 : 미국 허리케인센터
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